RECEIPTS

Every featured alert, graded

Each row is an alert our subscribers received, recorded at detection and frozen. The market price 1 hour and 24 hours later is measured from public fills, and the grade is settled by the market’s own resolution. Losses stay on the page. Grading is mechanical; there is no editing after the fact.

945featured alerts
431236record on 667 resolved, 11 voided
65%resolved in the alerted direction
+2.9¢median 24h move toward the alerted side
267sealed until resolution

Showing the 20 graded rows tagged Sports. The counts above cover the whole ledger. View the full ledger

DetectedMarketPositionAt alert+1h+24hOutcome
2026-07-16Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerSportsBUY PARIVISION$2,30083¢100¢ (+16)100¢ (+17)won2026-07-17
2026-07-15Set 1 Winner: Marques vs DominguesSportsBUY Marques$14,80050¢50¢ (+0)50¢ (+0)voided2026-07-15
2026-07-15Set 1 Winner: Marques vs DominguesSportsBUY Marques$4,60051¢50¢ (-1)50¢ (-1)voided2026-07-15
2026-07-14Croatia Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Juan Carlos PradoSportsBUY Juan Carlos Prado$6,60049¢49¢ (+0)42¢ (-7)voided2026-07-21
2026-07-14Croatia Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Juan Carlos PradoSportsBUY Juan Carlos Prado$6,40049¢50¢ (+0)42¢ (-7)voided2026-07-21
2026-07-14Croatia Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Juan Carlos PradoSportsBUY Juan Carlos Prado$6,40049¢49¢ (-0)42¢ (-7)voided2026-07-21
2026-07-14Croatia Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Juan Carlos PradoSportsBUY Juan Carlos Prado$6,30049¢49¢ (+0)42¢ (-7)voided2026-07-21
2026-07-14Croatia Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Juan Carlos PradoSportsBUY Juan Carlos Prado$6,20049¢49¢ (+0)42¢ (-7)voided2026-07-21
2026-07-14Croatia Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Juan Carlos PradoSportsBUY Juan Carlos Prado$5,90049¢49¢ (+0)42¢ (-7)voided2026-07-21
2026-07-13Erjavec vs. Bosio: Match O/U 23.5SportsBUY Under$1,90046¢46¢ (+0)46¢ (+0)lost2026-07-13
2026-07-12Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevSportsBUY Jannik Sinner$4,00090¢98¢ (+8)100¢ (+10)won2026-07-12
2026-07-11Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5SportsBUY Over$2,30050¢100¢ (+50)100¢ (+50)won2026-07-11
2026-07-10Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)SportsBUY Nongshim RedForce$1,30051¢79¢ (+28)100¢ (+49)won2026-07-10
2026-07-10Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan KozlovSportsBUY Jacob Fearnley$2,20070¢72¢ (+2)100¢ (+30)won2026-07-10
2026-07-10Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan KozlovSportsBUY Stefan Kozlov$2,60032¢28¢ (-4) (-32)lost2026-07-10
2026-07-10LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerSportsBUY G2 Esports$1,60064¢64¢ (+0) (-64)lost2026-07-10
2026-07-10LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerSportsBUY G2 Esports$3,20034¢ (-34) (-34)lost2026-07-10
2026-07-10Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)SportsBUY G2 Esports$1,30032¢32¢ (+0)32¢ (+0)lost2026-07-10
2026-07-10LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerSportsBUY G2 Esports$1,50064¢64¢ (+0) (-64)lost2026-07-10
2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?SportsBUY No$7,30081¢80¢ (-1)100¢ (+19)won2026-07-06

The ledger identity, checkable at a glance: 945 featured = 667 resolved (431 won, 236 lost) + 11 voided + 267 sealed. If those numbers ever disagree, something was edited; that is the point of publishing them together. A category can appear in this ledger without appearing on the leaderboard: alerts fire on live wallet moves, while the board lists only wallets whose records clear its public evidence floor of resolved events.

Unresolved alerts are sealed: each one is counted the moment it is featured, and its full row publishes when the market resolves, with the original detection date frozen. The sealed count above makes silent edits detectable, and the live stream itself is the subscription. Prices are the last trade at or before each horizon, from Polymarket’s public fills; dates carry day precision and position sizes are rounded. The date beside a grade is the market’s scheduled close date and is shown once it has passed; grades themselves settle on the market’s recorded outcome, independent of that date. BUY and SELL describe the tracked wallet’s own action at detection. A voided market is excluded from the record. Alert timing, gating, and grading are documented in the methodology; validation work is pre-registered on the research page; aggregate calibration and grading statistics are on the statistics page.

The Weekly Skill Report. Leaderboard changes, notable wallet moves, and every newly graded alert from the featured feed, the alerts subscribers receive. Wins and losses both, one email each Monday.

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