RECEIPTS

Every featured alert, graded

Each row is an alert our subscribers received: one alerted position, recorded when the feed first flags it. The first call’s date and price never change; a tracked wallet adding enough to re-flag the position updates that row’s recorded size and flag count (published at resolution) instead of adding a new row. The market price 1 hour and 24 hours later is measured from public fills, and the grade is settled by the market’s own resolution. Losses stay on the page. Grading is mechanical; there is no editing after the fact.

864featured alerts
463271record on 734 resolved, 13 voided
63%resolved in the alerted direction
+2.0¢median 24h move toward the alerted side
117sealed until resolution
DetectedMarketPositionAt alert+1h+24hOutcome
2026-09-13Phan Thiet 4: Aditya Balsekar vs Joshua CharltonTennisBUY Joshua Charlton$1,00050¢ (-46) (-46)lost2026-09-13
2026-09-13Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia SimakinTennisBUY Ilia Simakin$11,70090¢80¢ (-10)100¢ (+10)won
2026-09-12Barranquilla: Claire Liu vs Anna BlinkovaTennisBUY Claire Liu$6,50062¢17¢ (-45)100¢ (+38)won2026-09-13
2026-09-12Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND PlayoffsEsportsBUY G2$1,50049¢51¢ (+2) (-49)lost2026-09-13
2026-09-12LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsEsportsBUY Hanwha Life Esports$1,80037¢37¢ (-0) (-37)lost2026-09-13
2026-09-12Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?SportsBUY No$1,10065¢64¢ (-1)100¢ (+35)won
2026-09-12Counter-Strike: NRG vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier PlayoffsEsportsBUY Liquid$1,70057¢37¢ (-20) (-57)lost2026-09-12
2026-09-11Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)EsportsBUY BetBoom Team$1,90064¢62¢ (-2)100¢ (+36)won2026-09-12
2026-09-11Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND PlayoffsEsportsBUY Legacy$2,10070¢67¢ (-3)100¢ (+30)won2026-09-12
2026-09-11Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs NIP (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Closed Qualifier Group DEsportsBUY NIP$1,30044¢44¢ (+0) (-43)lost2026-09-11
2026-09-10Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND PlayoffsEsportsBUY MIBR$2,00051¢53¢ (+2)100¢ (+49)won2026-09-11
2026-09-10Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BEsportsBUY Alliance$2,60067¢100¢ (+33)100¢ (+33)won2026-09-10
2026-09-10Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)EsportsBUY 9z$2,20056¢61¢ (+5)100¢ (+44)won2026-09-10
2026-09-10Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in August?InflationBUY Yes$1,10027¢26¢ (-1)24¢ (-3)won2026-09-11
2026-09-09Counter-Strike: NIP vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Qualifier PlayoffsEsportsBUY Inner Circle Esports$1,60050¢50¢ (+0)100¢ (+50)won2026-09-10
2026-09-09Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in August?InflationBUY Yes$1,20013¢12¢ (-1)11¢ (-2)lost2026-09-11
2026-09-09Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in August?InflationBUY Yes$2,00051¢51¢ (+0)55¢ (+4)won2026-09-11
2026-09-09Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group AEsportsBUY BetBoom Team$2,40060¢60¢ (+0)100¢ (+40)won2026-09-10
2026-09-09Counter-Strike: 9z vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group AEsportsBUY 9z$2,00057¢57¢ (+0) (-55)lost2026-09-09
2026-09-09Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BEsportsBUY FURIA$2,30067¢68¢ (+1)100¢ (+33)won2026-09-09
2026-09-08Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Alliance (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BEsportsBUY Legacy$2,80071¢71¢ (+0)100¢ (+29)won2026-09-09
2026-09-08Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs GamerLegion (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BEsportsBUY TYLOO$2,00051¢50¢ (-1)100¢ (+49)won2026-09-09
2026-09-08Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BEsportsBUY FaZe$1,80061¢60¢ (-1) (-60)lost2026-09-09
2026-09-08Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,400?AppleBUY No$1,50088¢89¢ (+1)99¢ (+11)won
2026-09-06Set 4 Winner: Paul vs AlcarazSportsBUY Paul$1,20045¢50¢ (+5)50¢ (+5)voided2026-09-13
2026-09-06Counter-Strike: Heroic vs 1WIN (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Open Qualifier #2 PlayoffsEsportsBUY 1WIN$1,70040¢99¢ (+59)100¢ (+60)won2026-09-06
2026-09-06Counter-Strike: K27 vs Sinners (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: European Open Qualifier #2 PlayoffsEsportsBUY Sinners$1,30061¢100¢ (+39)100¢ (+39)won2026-09-06
2026-09-06Counter-Strike: K27 vs Sinners - Map 2 WinnerEsportsBUY Sinners$1,70043¢100¢ (+57)100¢ (+57)won2026-09-07
2026-09-05Map Handicap: TS (-2.5) vs MOUZ (+2.5)EsportsBUY MOUZ$1,50075¢75¢ (+0)100¢ (+25)won2026-09-06
2026-09-05Will "Beauty in Black: Season 3" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?MoviesBUY Yes$1,00087¢90¢ (+3)98¢ (+11)won2026-09-08
2026-09-05Counter-Strike: HOTU vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsEsportsBUY HOTU$1,70055¢56¢ (+1) (-55)lost2026-09-05
2026-09-04Set 4 Winner: Medvedev vs RinderknechSportsBUY Rinderknech$1,10046¢50¢ (+4)50¢ (+4)voided2026-09-11
2026-09-04Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 9, 2026?sam altmanBUY Yes$2,70088¢91¢ (+3)100¢ (+12)won2026-09-09
2026-09-03Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?sam altmanBUY Yes$2,40033¢37¢ (+4)100¢ (+67)won2026-09-04
2026-09-03Apple Announces Foldable iPhone at “Surprise and Shine” Event?AppleBUY Yes$1,10080¢82¢ (+2)94¢ (+14)won2026-09-09
2026-09-03Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?Box OfficeBUY Yes$1,80090¢90¢ (+0)97¢ (+7)won2026-09-06
2026-09-02Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?YouTubeBUY Yes$1,00071¢80¢ (+9)98¢ (+27)won2026-09-03
2026-09-02Counter-Strike: Phantom vs OG (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier PlayoffsEsportsBUY OG$1,70042¢42¢ (+0) (-42)lost2026-09-03
2026-09-02Counter-Strike: HOTU vs Nemiga (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier PlayoffsEsportsBUY HOTU$1,70072¢100¢ (+28)100¢ (+28)won2026-09-02
2026-09-02Counter-Strike: K27 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Qualifier PlayoffsEsportsBUY GamerLegion$1,20076¢ (-76) (-76)lost2026-09-02
2026-09-02Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?sam altmanBUY Yes$1,60082¢89¢ (+7)99¢ (+17)won
2026-09-02Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?sam altmanBUY No$1,70015¢12¢ (-3) (-14)lost2026-06-30
2026-09-02Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?InflationBUY Yes$2,00035¢35¢ (+0)36¢ (+1)lost2026-09-11
2026-08-31LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 WinnerSportsBUY PCIFIC $1,60036¢28¢ (-8)100¢ (+64)won2026-09-01
2026-08-31Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?AIBUY Yes$2,10075¢74¢ (-1)78¢ (+3)won2026-09-04
2026-08-31Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?AIBUY Yes$6,80069¢58¢ (-11)27¢ (-42)won2026-09-01
2026-08-31Will "The Whisper Man (2026)" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?MoviesBUY Yes$1,90087¢94¢ (+7)92¢ (+5)won2026-09-01
2026-08-31Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top US Netflix movie this week?MoviesBUY Yes$1,60067¢77¢ (+10)96¢ (+29)won2026-09-01
2026-08-31Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?AIBUY Yes$6,70056¢63¢ (+7)56¢ (+0)won2026-09-02
2026-08-29Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?sam altmanBUY Yes$1,40030¢37¢ (+7)47¢ (+17)won2026-06-30
2026-08-28Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?sam altmanBUY Yes$1,50070¢70¢ (+0)70¢ (+0)won
2026-08-28Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?InflationBUY Yes$5,00049¢49¢ (+0)44¢ (-5)won2026-09-11
2026-08-28Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Box OfficeBUY Yes$4,80051¢50¢ (-1)94¢ (+43)won2026-08-30
2026-08-27Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BEsportsBUY Vitality$1,80073¢73¢ (+0)74¢ (+1)won2026-08-29
2026-08-26Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs DENDELE CS (+1.5)EsportsBUY DENDELE CS$1,70055¢55¢ (+0)51¢ (-4)lost2026-08-28
2026-08-26Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?CryptoBUY Yes$1,30025¢24¢ (-1)49¢ (+24)lost2026-09-01
2026-08-26Counter-Strike: HOTU vs K27 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageEsportsBUY HOTU$1,60053¢51¢ (-2)100¢ (+47)won2026-08-26
2026-08-25Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?GDPBUY No$1,20047¢48¢ (+0)36¢ (-11)lost
2026-08-24Game Spread: Charaeva (-1.5) vs Bandecchi (+1.5)SportsBUY Charaeva$1,30050¢50¢ (+0)48¢ (-2)lost2026-09-01
2026-08-24Game Spread: Kecmanovic (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5)SportsBUY Kecmanovic$1,20038¢49¢ (+11)50¢ (+12)lost2026-09-01
2026-08-24Game Spread: Djere (-1.5) vs Muller (+1.5)SportsBUY Djere$1,00051¢52¢ (+1)52¢ (+1)lost2026-08-31
2026-08-22Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?Box OfficeBUY No$1,80065¢68¢ (+3) (-60)lost2026-08-23
2026-08-22Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?Box OfficeBUY Yes$2,10017¢37¢ (+20)89¢ (+72)won2026-08-23
2026-08-22Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?Box OfficeBUY Yes$1,10054¢54¢ (+0)20¢ (-34)lost2026-08-23
2026-08-22Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Box OfficeBUY Yes$6,90072¢72¢ (+0)76¢ (+4)won2026-08-31
2026-08-21Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsEsportsBUY Team Liquid$5,80039¢36¢ (-3) (-38)lost2026-08-22
2026-08-21Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?AIBUY Yes$1,50056¢50¢ (-6)47¢ (-9)won
2026-08-21Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?CryptoBUY No$2,60085¢85¢ (+0)93¢ (+8)won2026-09-01
2026-08-21Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?AIBUY Yes$7,00077¢77¢ (+0)59¢ (-18)won
2026-08-21Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026?CryptoBUY Yes$4,40083¢83¢ (+0)100¢ (+17)won
2026-08-20SC St. Tönis 11/20 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 5.5SportsBUY Over$1,10049¢64¢ (+15)100¢ (+51)won2026-08-21
2026-08-20SC St. Tönis 11/20 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5SportsBUY Over$3,90055¢65¢ (+10)100¢ (+45)won2026-08-21
2026-08-20Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the top global Netflix movie this week?MoviesBUY Yes$2,20075¢81¢ (+6)91¢ (+16)won2026-08-25
2026-08-20NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?RussiaBUY No$2,60073¢62¢ (-11)96¢ (+22)won2026-08-31
2026-08-20Will "The Odyssey" 6th Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 18.5m?Box OfficeBUY No$1,30069¢90¢ (+21)82¢ (+13)won2026-08-23
2026-08-200 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?IranBUY Yes$1,10032¢33¢ (+1)31¢ (-1)lost2026-08-31
2026-08-20Will Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series?AwardsBUY No$1,30084¢84¢ (+0)80¢ (-4)lost2026-09-14
2026-08-19Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: 2nd Half O/U 0.5SportsBUY Over$2,30080¢80¢ (+0)88¢ (+8)lost2026-08-21
2026-08-18Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?sam altmanBUY No$1,80087¢90¢ (+3)92¢ (+5)won2026-08-30
2026-08-18Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?sam altmanBUY Yes$4,30072¢71¢ (-1)74¢ (+2)won
2026-08-17Kingston: Miguel Tobon vs Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos SantosTennisBUY Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos$1,00088¢100¢ (+12)100¢ (+12)won2026-08-17
2026-08-17Cancun: Gauthier Onclin vs James McCabeTennisBUY Gauthier Onclin$1,50051¢51¢ (+0)51¢ (+0)voided2026-08-18
2026-08-17Kingston: Kenta Miyoshi vs Roger Pascual FerraTennisBUY Roger Pascual Ferra$1,20061¢ (-60) (-60)lost2026-08-17
2026-08-17Quebec City: Stefano Napolitano vs Ugo BlanchetTennisBUY Ugo Blanchet$2,00057¢53¢ (-4)100¢ (+43)won2026-08-17
2026-08-17Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?sam altmanBUY Yes$1,90060¢59¢ (-1)62¢ (+2)won
2026-08-17Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?sam altmanBUY Yes$1,90087¢84¢ (-3)87¢ (+0)won
2026-08-15Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 66m?Box OfficeBUY No$1,00080¢93¢ (+13)100¢ (+20)won2026-08-16
2026-08-15Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?Box OfficeBUY No$4,80075¢75¢ (+0)94¢ (+19)won2026-08-16
2026-08-14Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 26m?Box OfficeBUY No$3,30087¢88¢ (+1)99¢ (+12)won2026-08-16
2026-08-14Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel CerundoloSportsBUY Juan Manuel Cerundolo$1,50049¢48¢ (-1)100¢ (+51)won2026-08-14
2026-08-13Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Box OfficeBUY No$3,90040¢59¢ (+19)80¢ (+40)won2026-08-31
2026-08-13Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?RussiaBUY No$1,30089¢94¢ (+5)99¢ (+9)won2026-08-15
2026-08-13Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?RussiaBUY No$1,10057¢63¢ (+6)78¢ (+21)lost2026-08-31
2026-08-13ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 2 Women: Varvara Panshina vs Luna VujovicTennisBUY Luna Vujovic$4,10074¢100¢ (+26)100¢ (+26)won2026-08-13
2026-08-13Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs J.J. WolfTennisBUY J.J. Wolf$1,30085¢91¢ (+6)100¢ (+15)won2026-08-19
2026-08-13Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Quentin Halys vs Yunchaokete BuTennisBUY Quentin Halys$1,60074¢100¢ (+26)100¢ (+26)won2026-08-19
2026-08-13Cincinnati Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Zeynep SonmezTennisBUY Zeynep Sonmez$2,10043¢42¢ (-1)100¢ (+57)won2026-08-20
2026-08-13Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Stefanos Sakellaridis vs Titouan DroguetTennisBUY Titouan Droguet$1,00088¢100¢ (+12)100¢ (+12)won2026-08-19
2026-08-13Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Eva Lys vs Anna BlinkovaTennisBUY Eva Lys$4,60055¢ (-55) (-55)lost2026-08-19
2026-08-13Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Kei NishikoriTennisBUY Kei Nishikori$5,90070¢ (-69) (-69)lost2026-08-19

The ledger identity, checkable at a glance: 864 featured = 734 resolved (463 won, 271 lost) + 13 voided + 117 sealed. A sealed row leaves the sealed count only by resolving or voiding and stays in the total either way, so a total that falls between two visits means rows were removed; that is the point of publishing the counts together. A category can appear in this ledger without appearing on the leaderboard. Alerts fire on live wallet moves, while the board lists only wallets whose records clear its public evidence floor of resolved events.

Showing the latest 100 graded receipts of 747. The complete ledger is public as JSON, 500 rows per page, newest first: page 1, page 2. Every page repeats the same summary counts, so a partial mirror is detectable against the totals above.

Unresolved alerts are sealed. Each one is counted the moment it is featured, and its full row publishes when the market resolves, with the original detection date frozen. The sealed count above makes silent edits detectable, and the live stream itself is the subscription. Prices are the last trade at or before each horizon, from Polymarket’s public fills, before fees; dates carry day precision and position sizes are rounded. The date beside a grade is the market’s scheduled close date and is shown once it has passed; grades themselves settle on the market’s recorded outcome, independent of that date. BUY and SELL describe the tracked wallet’s own action at detection. A voided market is excluded from the record. Alert timing, gating, and grading are documented in the methodology; validation work is pre-registered on the research page; aggregate calibration and grading statistics are on the statistics page. Any wallet’s own record can be tested against its entry prices with the free wallet checker.

The Weekly Skill Report. Leaderboard changes, notable wallet moves, and every newly graded alert from the featured feed, the alerts subscribers receive. Wins and losses both, one email each Monday.

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