SKILL LEADERBOARD

Who is actually accurate

The top wallets in each category, ranked by skill-adjusted accuracy across distinct resolved events, so one correlated position can’t pass as a track record. The public board is free to read. How we score →

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Free preview. The #1 forecaster’s identity and real numbers are shown. The rest are hidden, not blank. Subscribe to reveal every forecaster, every score, and the full ranking.Subscribe for the full board →

	Forecaster			Evidence
1	0x9890…730e ↗	79	+25.59	0.32	2995.9%	87.7%	$7,829
2		518
3		2003
4		1906
5		287

Scores are statistical estimates based on public on-chain data and may be incomplete or wrong. They describe a wallet’s historical record, and they are not statements about any person’s character, honesty, or overall trading ability. Wallet owner? Request delisting or a correction: hello@overround.pro.

Category leaders, free to read

Each category’s top-ranked forecaster, with its public record. Scores are statistical estimates over independent resolved events; the full rankings behind each leader are the subscription.

Sports: #1 is 0x9890…730e with 79 independent resolved events · +27.0¢ per share vs the market baseline · 95% hit rate, leading 289,434 ranked wallets.

Politics: #1 is 0xf1f0…58df with 302 independent resolved events · +23.4¢ per share vs the market baseline · 47% hit rate, leading 109,262 ranked wallets.

Crypto: #1 is 0xf1f0…58df with 33 independent resolved events · +18.5¢ per share vs the market baseline · 64% hit rate, leading 73,627 ranked wallets.

Finance: #1 is 0x2455…a70f with 87 independent resolved events · +17.4¢ per share vs the market baseline · 79% hit rate, leading 7,726 ranked wallets.

Iran: #1 is 0x7a61…af24 with 28 independent resolved events · +23.3¢ per share vs the market baseline · 71% hit rate, leading 4,106 ranked wallets.

Weather: #1 is 0xc31f…f04a with 68 independent resolved events · +21.1¢ per share vs the market baseline · 82% hit rate, leading 2,964 ranked wallets.

Esports: #1 is 0x8541…a367 with 68 independent resolved events · +8.0¢ per share vs the market baseline · 51% hit rate, leading 1,986 ranked wallets.

Awards: #1 is 0xac16…4f44 with 34 independent resolved events · +15.3¢ per share vs the market baseline · 68% hit rate, leading 1,811 ranked wallets.

Business: #1 is 0x7a61…af24 with 40 independent resolved events · +12.1¢ per share vs the market baseline · 53% hit rate, leading 1,528 ranked wallets.

AI: #1 is 0x957f…99c8 with 37 independent resolved events · +16.3¢ per share vs the market baseline · 95% hit rate, leading 1,470 ranked wallets.

Movies: #1 is 0x3577…6eff with 39 independent resolved events · +31.5¢ per share vs the market baseline · 97% hit rate, leading 1,424 ranked wallets.

Culture: #1 is 0x90a0…7e0a with 22 independent resolved events · +19.6¢ per share vs the market baseline · 86% hit rate, leading 911 ranked wallets.

Reading the board

The guide to the most accurate Polymarket traders walks through each category’s leader and why this ranking disagrees with profit leaderboards, and the win-rate guide shows from the graded wallet population why raw win percentages cannot rank anyone. For the official profit board itself, the Polymarket leaderboard guide reads its ranks and win rates against the prices behind them. Any wallet’s record can be tested against its own entry prices with the free checker.

All ranked categories

Sports: 289,434 ranked wallets.

Politics: 109,262 ranked wallets.

Crypto: 73,627 ranked wallets.

Finance: 7,726 ranked wallets.

Iran: 4,106 ranked wallets.

Weather: 2,964 ranked wallets.

Esports: 1,986 ranked wallets.

Awards: 1,811 ranked wallets.

Business: 1,528 ranked wallets.

AI: 1,470 ranked wallets.

Movies: 1,424 ranked wallets.

Culture: 911 ranked wallets.

Music: 903 ranked wallets.

Trump: 866 ranked wallets.

MrBeast: 812 ranked wallets.

Science: 740 ranked wallets.

strike: 654 ranked wallets.

Box Office: 604 ranked wallets.