6,792 wallets hold a ranked Finance record of at least 20 independent resolved events. The current #1 is 0x2455…a70f, with 85 independent resolved events · +17.9¢ per share vs the market baseline · 81% hit rate. Its full record is free to read; the complete ranking behind it is the subscription. Scores are statistical estimates over public on-chain data, and they describe wallet records rather than persons. How the scoring works →
Finance markets ask whether equities and indexes hit or hold levels: an S&P strike by month end, a single stock finishing a week above a price, macro prints like the unemployment rate landing on a value. Resolution comes from published closes and official releases.
Threshold ladders are the grading nuance here. A dozen strikes on the same index and date settle together, so they count as one event family and one unit of evidence. The wallets that rise on this board hold records across many separate tickers, dates, and macro questions, which is where price-relative accuracy becomes distinguishable from a single directional bet repeated twelve ways.
SKILL LEADERBOARD
Who is actually accurate
The top wallets in each category, ranked by skill-adjusted accuracy across distinct resolved events, so one correlated position can’t pass as a track record. The public board is free to read. How we score →
Free preview. The #1 forecaster’s identity and real numbers are shown. The rest are hidden, not blank. Subscribe to reveal every forecaster, every score, and the full ranking.Subscribe for the full board →
Scores are statistical estimates based on public on-chain data and may be incomplete or wrong. They describe a wallet’s historical record, and they are not statements about any person’s character, honesty, or overall trading ability. Wallet owner? Request delisting or a correction: hello@overround.pro.
What counts as a finance market on Polymarket?
Index and single-stock threshold questions with fixed dates, weekly closes above or below a level, and macro data prints such as unemployment or inflation landing in a stated range. Each market resolves on the published number.
How are ladders of strikes on the same index handled?
As one event family. Every strike on the same underlying and date resolves from the same close, so the grading counts the family once. A record spread across independent tickers and dates carries more evidence than the same number of positions stacked on one close.
Is this board a stock-picking ranking?
It grades resolved probability judgments against the entry prices that stated them, which measures calibration on discrete finance questions. It does not measure portfolio returns, and nothing on the page is investment advice.