Politics: Polymarket’s most calibrated forecasters

45,648 wallets hold a ranked Politics record of at least 20 independent resolved events. The current #1 is 0xf1f0…58df, with 272 independent resolved events · +24.0¢ per share vs the market baseline · 46% hit rate. Its full record is free to read; the complete ranking behind it is the subscription. Scores are statistical estimates over public on-chain data, and they describe wallet records rather than persons. How the scoring works →

SKILL LEADERBOARD

Who is actually accurate

The top wallets in each category, ranked by skill-adjusted accuracy across distinct resolved events, so one correlated position can’t pass as a track record. The public board is free to read. How we score →

Want a message when one of these forecasters changes position? Alerts on Telegram & email, minutes after the move, are the paid tier.See pricing →
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Scores are statistical estimates based on public on-chain data and may be incomplete or wrong. They describe a wallet’s historical record, and they are not statements about any person’s character, honesty, or overall trading ability. Wallet owner? Request delisting or a correction: hello@overround.pro.