Polyburg review: what $79 a month buys, and the alternatives

Pricing

Polyburg prices alerts and copy trading separately.

• Essential, free: unlimited Telegram alerts and the top-trader leaderboard, with no usage caps. Polyburg calls the tier free forever.
• Pro, $79 a month: adds conviction scores (1 to 10) on every alert, position-sizing guidance, and priority support.
• Genesis, $359 a year: twelve months of Pro at a founder rate that Polyburg says will never be repriced.
• Copy-trading membership: $30 a month, or $120 billed yearly. Buying, copying and presets in the mini-app require it, and your first month is free with an invite from an existing member.
• Per-trade fee: charged per share at 0.056 × price × (1 − price), with a minimum of $0.0024 a share. In Polyburg’s own worked examples that is 0.28% of the stake at a 95-cent fill and 5.32% at a 5-cent fill, and Polymarket’s own fee comes on top. Exiting a preset costs a further 0.2% of the amount coming back.

Subscriptions are paid in Telegram Stars or crypto, with no card on file. Polyburg’s pages disagree about manual trades. The small print on the pricing page says manual mirror trades carry no platform fee, while the fee schedule in its docs, which its own fee page calls the canonical version, charges the same per-share fee on manual, copied and preset trades.

What it does well

The free tier is usable on its own: unlimited alerts, no email required, no trial clock. Polyburg publishes its fee formula with worked tables, and it publishes the ranking behind the default order on its Copy tab, which it calls Copier’s pick. That ranking starts from a trader’s settled edge, the average amount each $1 share paid over its cost on positions that settled, and it shows traders whose settled positions lost money instead of hiding them. Funds sit in a personal Polymarket smart wallet whose address is public on Polygonscan, and selling, withdrawing and claiming winnings stay available if a membership lapses. The performance page labels its preset figures hypothetical and before fees.

Custody and trader selection

Polyburg’s docs say the wallet’s signing key is held by Polyburg’s key quorum through Privy. That is what lets presets and copy rules trade without asking you to approve each one.

Two layers decide which traders you see. Trader Discovery decides who makes the curated list, filtering on consistency, followability, execution style and a bot flag, and Polyburg says it deliberately does not publish that scoring math or its thresholds. Copier’s pick then orders the list by published rules, among them at least 30 settled positions and 2 cents of edge a share to qualify, and a score weighted 40% to edge, 25% to realized profit, 15% to settled win rate and 20% to the share of profitable months.

The presets are defined partly by win-rate floors: 65% for Steady and 55% for Smart. Copier’s pick puts its largest weight on price-relative edge; our win-rate data covers why a win rate needs the prices behind it.

How OVERROUND differs

OVERROUND alerts start at $19 a month at the founding rate ($29 standard), while Polyburg’s are free, and OVERROUND does not execute or copy trades. Its alerts describe what a tracked wallet did, for your own research, and every position the feed alerts on is recorded at detection, sealed while its market trades, and graded won or lost at resolution on the public receipts ledger, losses included. No graded record of Polyburg’s past alerts was publicly readable on 2026-09-22. Its case-studies page listed no entries, and its alert-history page returned a data error to a visitor who was not signed in.

OVERROUND’s wallet selection starts from the same idea as Copier’s pick, accuracy measured against the prices actually paid, and then differs in three places. OVERROUND counts each set of mutually exclusive outcomes as a single event, shrinks small samples toward the category baseline, and ranks wallets within each category. The methodology page describes how the scoring works, and the method carries a pre-registered out-of-time validation. Any wallet’s record can be tested against its entry prices with the free wallet checker, including wallets you find on Polyburg.

The genuine alternatives, verified 2026-09-22

• OVERROUND (this site): category leaderboards that grade wallets against the prices they actually paid, alerts from the top-graded wallets, a public ledger grading every alerted position won or lost, losses included, and a pre-registered out-of-time validation of the scoring method. Free board and wallet checker; alerts from $19/month at the founding rate. It does not execute or copy trades.
• Arkham Prediction Market Elo (pricing not stated in the announcement): An Elo-style accuracy rating of Polymarket traders on Arkham Intel, announced June 29, 2026. Correct predictions at lower odds move the rating more. Strength: The difficulty weighting is a sensible idea, and Arkham states its own limitations plainly. Gap: By its own announcement, ratings ignore bet sizing, and the announcement publishes no backtest or graded record.
• Unusual Whales Predictions (Free tier; $20/mo or $204/yr standalone, also bundled in the $50+ Unusual Whales plans): Potential-insider, whale-trade and smart-money tracking for Polymarket, built with Hashdive, whose Smart Score rates traders from -100 to 100 on consistency, risk-awareness and profitability. Strength: Category-specific trader scoring and several alert types (potential insider, contrarian whale, momentum) from a long-running options-flow brand. Gap: The product page describes no public graded record of what its alerts returned.
• Polymarket Analytics (Free tier; Premium $20/mo): Market and trader analytics: a leaderboard sortable by realised profit, win rate, volume or return on capital, wallet lookup with full position histories, a whale tracker, and copy trading through its PolyGun Telegram bot. Strength: Broad free coverage of markets and wallets. Gap: Its leaderboard sorts by profit, win rate, volume or return on capital, and the pages read describe no adjustment for sample size.
• Convexly (Free check; Watchlist $9/mo, Researcher $49/mo, Trader $499/mo; $19 one-time wallet read): A wallet analyzer whose Edge Score combines calibration, conviction and discipline against a frozen 8,656-wallet reference cohort, with watchlists, email digests, and wallet-move alerts on its Trader plan. Strength: It pre-registers its tests on AsPredicted and publishes the failures, along with a signal ledger that shows its losses. Gap: Alerts within minutes of a wallet move start at the $499/mo Trader plan (lower tiers get daily recaps), and its track-record page labels its related-market signal feed “Track record immature”.
• Shadower ($99/mo or $990/yr, 3-day trial with no card): Copy-trading execution that mirrors chosen wallets' Polymarket trades in about two seconds through the official API, plus a trader leaderboard ranked by an Elo-style skill rating. Strength: Fast execution, a flat price with no per-trade fee, and a real trial. Gap: The Elo ignores bet size by design, and the full ranking past the top five needs a subscription.

Copy-trading execution, whale and insider surveillance, and free ratings all have honest use cases. The comparison OVERROUND invites is checkable: what each tool publishes about how its own output turned out, losses included.

Sources

• Polyburg pricing page (alert tiers, copy-bot membership), accessed 2026-09-22.
• Polyburg copy-trading page (the mini-app, presets, trader list), accessed 2026-09-22.
• Polyburg fee page (membership, invite month, preset exit fee, and the pointer to the canonical docs version), accessed 2026-09-22.
• Polyburg fee schedule, canonical docs version, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Polyburg docs, “How we rank: Copier's pick”, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Polyburg docs, Trader Discovery, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Polyburg docs overview (wallet custody, alerts on Telegram), accessed 2026-09-22.
• Polyburg preset performance page, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Polyburg case-studies page, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Polyburg alert-history page, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Arkham, “Introducing: Prediction Market Elo”, announcement of June 29, 2026 (the source of every Arkham statement quoted here), accessed 2026-09-22.
• Arkham announcements index (no later post on the Elo ratings is listed), accessed 2026-09-22.
• Unusual Predictions product page, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Unusual Whales pricing, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Polymarket Analytics home page, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Polymarket Analytics pricing, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Polymarket Analytics traders leaderboard, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Convexly home page, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Convexly pricing, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Convexly track record, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Convexly pre-registration manifest, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Convexly signal ledger (“CME proof ledger”), accessed 2026-09-22.
• Shadower home and pricing, accessed 2026-09-22.
• Shadower trader leaderboard, accessed 2026-09-22.