Polyburg review: what $79 a month buys, and the alternatives

Pricing, verified

• Essential (free): unlimited alerts, without confidence scores or sizing guidance. The trader leaderboard and profiles are also free.
• Pro, $79/month: adds confidence scores (1 to 10), position-sizing guidance, and priority support.
• Genesis, $359/year: everything in Pro for a year, which works out to well under half the monthly rate.

No free trial and no money-back guarantee are mentioned on the pricing page as of 2026-07-22.

What it does well

Credit where due. Polyburg now publishes its wallet-selection formula (win rate weighted by the log of trade count) along with explicit exclusions for high-frequency bots, hedgers, thin records, and inactive wallets. That is more methodological transparency than most alert products offer. The tracked set has grown to a stated 200+ wallets updated hourly, the free tier is genuinely usable, and Telegram delivery with a conviction-score filter is a low-friction product.

What gave us pause

Polyburg’s case-studies page presents 1,226 winning alerts with a claimed average ROI above five thousand percent. There is no corresponding record of losing alerts, no overall grading, and no stated methodology for how case studies are chosen, which makes the page a showcase of selected winners rather than a track record. A win-rate-based selection formula also inherits the problem documented across this site: win rate without entry prices rewards favorite-buying, as our win-rate data shows in detail. Smaller practical notes, all checkable as of 2026-07-22: the operator is unnamed, the domain is about thirteen months old and scores poorly on some trust scanners (likely reflecting youth and hidden ownership rather than documented misconduct), and the blog has been quiet since August 2025 even as SEO landing pages continued shipping.

The question to ask any alert service

Where is the graded record of everything it sent? Winners-only showcases are easy; a ledger that includes the losses is the only evidence that survives scrutiny. That standard is the one this site holds itself to: every OVERROUND alert ever sent is graded in public on the receipts ledger, and the selection method behind the tracked wallets carries a pre-registered out-of-time validation. Apply the same question to us and to everyone below.

The genuine alternatives, verified 2026-07-22

• OVERROUND (this site): skill-graded category leaderboards scored against the prices actually paid, alerts from the top-graded wallets, and the two things none of the tools below carry: a public graded ledger of every alert ever sent and a pre-registered out-of-time validation. Free board and wallet checker; alerts from $19/month.
• Arkham Prediction Market Elo (Included with an Arkham account): An Elo-style accuracy rating of Polymarket traders from a major on-chain analytics brand, launched June 2026. Correct predictions at lower odds move the rating more. Strength: Big-brand data platform underneath (full position history, trade feeds, entity labels), and the methodology's difficulty weighting is a sensible idea. Arkham states its own limitations plainly. Gap: By its own announcement, ratings ignore bet sizing, and there is no graded alert record, no backtest, and no per-category depth.
• Unusual Whales Predictions (Paid (pricing on their site)): Insider- and whale-flow tracking for Polymarket from the Unusual Whales brand, live since January 2026. Strength: Large retail distribution and a mature alerting culture. Gap: Positioning-based rather than accuracy-graded; no public graded record of what its flags returned.
• Polymarket Analytics (Free tier; paid tiers on their site): P&L and win-rate leaderboards with watchlists; widely cited in press coverage of big Polymarket winners. Strength: The reference surface for official-style P&L rankings. Gap: Ranks by profit, the metric that rewards bankroll and luck; no price-relative skill adjustment.
• Convexly (Free analyzer; paid Researcher tier): A skill-or-luck wallet analyzer scoring calibration, conviction, and discipline against a frozen 8,656-wallet reference cohort, with watchlists and a weekly digest. Strength: Methodologically serious, and it publishes its failed forward tests, which deserves respect. Gap: A reference cohort of 8,656 wallets against millions gradable; no alerts product and no graded alert ledger.
• Shadower ($27/mo or $319/yr, 3-day trial): Copy-trading execution: mirrors chosen wallets' Polymarket trades in about two seconds via the official API. Strength: Fast execution with trade-only keys; a real trial. Gap: An execution product rather than an evaluation one: it mirrors whoever you choose and does not grade whether they are worth mirroring.

Different tools fit different needs: pure execution, whale surveillance, and free ratings all have honest use cases. The comparison OVERROUND invites is narrow and checkable: which of these publishes a graded record of its own output.