RECEIPTS

Every featured alert, graded

Each row is an alert our subscribers received: one alerted position, recorded when the feed first flags it. The first call’s date and price never change; a tracked wallet adding enough to re-flag the position updates that row’s recorded size and flag count (published at resolution) instead of adding a new row. The market price 1 hour and 24 hours later is measured from public fills, and the grade is settled by the market’s own resolution. Losses stay on the page. Grading is mechanical; there is no editing after the fact.

866featured alerts
463271record on 734 resolved, 13 voided
63%resolved in the alerted direction
+2.0¢median 24h move toward the alerted side
119sealed until resolution

Showing the 40 graded rows tagged Sports. The counts above cover the whole ledger. View the full ledger

DetectedMarketPositionAt alert+1h+24hOutcome
2026-09-12Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?SportsBUY No$1,10065¢64¢ (-1)100¢ (+35)won
2026-09-06Set 4 Winner: Paul vs AlcarazSportsBUY Paul$1,20045¢50¢ (+5)50¢ (+5)voided2026-09-13
2026-09-04Set 4 Winner: Medvedev vs RinderknechSportsBUY Rinderknech$1,10046¢50¢ (+4)50¢ (+4)voided2026-09-11
2026-08-31LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 WinnerSportsBUY PCIFIC $1,60036¢28¢ (-8)100¢ (+64)won2026-09-01
2026-08-24Game Spread: Charaeva (-1.5) vs Bandecchi (+1.5)SportsBUY Charaeva$1,30050¢50¢ (+0)48¢ (-2)lost2026-09-01
2026-08-24Game Spread: Kecmanovic (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5)SportsBUY Kecmanovic$1,20038¢49¢ (+11)50¢ (+12)lost2026-09-01
2026-08-24Game Spread: Djere (-1.5) vs Muller (+1.5)SportsBUY Djere$1,00051¢52¢ (+1)52¢ (+1)lost2026-08-31
2026-08-20SC St. Tönis 11/20 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 5.5SportsBUY Over$1,10049¢64¢ (+15)100¢ (+51)won2026-08-21
2026-08-20SC St. Tönis 11/20 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5SportsBUY Over$3,90055¢65¢ (+10)100¢ (+45)won2026-08-21
2026-08-19Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: 2nd Half O/U 0.5SportsBUY Over$2,30080¢80¢ (+0)88¢ (+8)lost2026-08-21
2026-08-14Cincinnati Open: Mark Lajal vs Juan Manuel CerundoloSportsBUY Juan Manuel Cerundolo$1,50049¢48¢ (-1)100¢ (+51)won2026-08-14
2026-08-12Will FC Bayern Munich Legends vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?SportsBUY Yes$6,70077¢78¢ (+1)22¢ (-55)lost2026-08-15
2026-08-11Will Borussia Monchengladbach win on 2026-08-12?SportsBUY Yes$1,00076¢77¢ (+1)94¢ (+18)won2026-08-12
2026-08-11Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-12?SportsBUY Yes$2,20033¢72¢ (+39)83¢ (+50)lost2026-08-12
2026-08-10Will Charlotte FC win on 2026-08-11?SportsBUY No$1,30043¢44¢ (+1)45¢ (+2)won2026-08-11
2026-08-08Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Team Jenz - Game 1 WinnerSportsBUY Amaru Gaming$1,00052¢50¢ (-2)51¢ (-1)voided2026-07-28
2026-08-05National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro TabiloSportsBUY Hubert Hurkacz$1,20060¢59¢ (-1)100¢ (+40)won2026-08-13
2026-07-29LoL: RED Academy vs Estral Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular SeasonSportsBUY RED Academy$3,40017¢ (-16) (-17)lost2026-07-30
2026-07-29LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs 7REX (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular SeasonSportsBUY 7REX$2,30040¢ (-40) (-40)lost2026-07-30
2026-07-29LoL: RMD Gaming vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular SeasonSportsBUY KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas$3,30068¢ (-68) (-68)lost2026-07-30
2026-07-29Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos TsitsipasSportsBUY Alex de Minaur$1,10053¢46¢ (-7)100¢ (+47)won2026-08-03
2026-07-28Will MH Beitar Jerusalem win on 2026-07-30?SportsBUY Yes$2,80044¢44¢ (+0)45¢ (+1)lost2026-07-30
2026-07-22LoL: Myth Esports vs Dynasty - Game 1 WinnerSportsBUY Myth Esports$1,40050¢47¢ (-3) (-49)lost2026-07-23
2026-07-22ITF Huamantla: Paulina Montiel vs Gabriella PriceSportsBUY Paulina Montiel$1,20010¢ (-3) (-10)lost2026-07-29
2026-07-21Michelsen vs. Gea: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5SportsBUY Under$2,20051¢51¢ (-0)51¢ (-0)voided2026-07-27
2026-07-21ITF Sao Paulo: Nicolas Zanellato vs Nicolas OliveiraSportsBUY Nicolas Zanellato$1,40046¢46¢ (+0)100¢ (+54)won2026-07-21
2026-07-20Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-07-23?SportsBUY Yes$1,20060¢60¢ (+0)63¢ (+3)lost2026-07-23
2026-07-16Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 WinnerSportsBUY PARIVISION$2,30083¢100¢ (+17)100¢ (+17)won2026-07-17
2026-07-15Set 1 Winner: Marques vs DominguesSportsBUY Marques$14,80051¢50¢ (-1)50¢ (-1)voided2026-07-15
2026-07-14Croatia Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Juan Carlos PradoSportsBUY Juan Carlos Prado$6,60049¢49¢ (+0)42¢ (-7)voided2026-07-21
2026-07-13Erjavec vs. Bosio: Match O/U 23.5SportsBUY Under$1,90046¢46¢ (+0)46¢ (+0)lost2026-07-13
2026-07-12Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevSportsBUY Jannik Sinner$4,00090¢100¢ (+10)100¢ (+10)won2026-07-12
2026-07-11Muchova vs. Noskova: Match O/U 23.5SportsBUY Over$2,30050¢100¢ (+50)100¢ (+50)won2026-07-11
2026-07-10Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Team Vitality (-2.5) vs Nongshim RedForce (+2.5)SportsBUY Nongshim RedForce$1,30051¢100¢ (+49)100¢ (+49)won2026-07-10
2026-07-10Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan KozlovSportsBUY Jacob Fearnley$2,20070¢72¢ (+2)100¢ (+30)won2026-07-10
2026-07-10Newport: Jacob Fearnley vs Stefan KozlovSportsBUY Stefan Kozlov$2,60032¢28¢ (-4) (-32)lost2026-07-10
2026-07-10LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerSportsBUY G2 Esports$3,20034¢ (-34) (-34)lost2026-07-10
2026-07-10Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)SportsBUY G2 Esports$1,30032¢ (-32) (-32)lost2026-07-10
2026-07-10LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerSportsBUY G2 Esports$1,60064¢ (-63) (-64)lost2026-07-10
2026-07-06Portugal vs. Spain: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?SportsBUY No$7,30081¢82¢ (+1)100¢ (+19)won2026-07-06

The ledger identity, checkable at a glance: 866 featured = 734 resolved (463 won, 271 lost) + 13 voided + 119 sealed. A sealed row leaves the sealed count only by resolving or voiding and stays in the total either way, so a total that falls between two visits means rows were removed; that is the point of publishing the counts together. A category can appear in this ledger without appearing on the leaderboard. Alerts fire on live wallet moves, while the board lists only wallets whose records clear its public evidence floor of resolved events.

Unresolved alerts are sealed. Each one is counted the moment it is featured, and its full row publishes when the market resolves, with the original detection date frozen. The sealed count above makes silent edits detectable, and the live stream itself is the subscription. Prices are the last trade at or before each horizon, from Polymarket’s public fills, before fees; dates carry day precision and position sizes are rounded. The date beside a grade is the market’s scheduled close date and is shown once it has passed; grades themselves settle on the market’s recorded outcome, independent of that date. BUY and SELL describe the tracked wallet’s own action at detection. A voided market is excluded from the record. Alert timing, gating, and grading are documented in the methodology; validation work is pre-registered on the research page; aggregate calibration and grading statistics are on the statistics page. Any wallet’s own record can be tested against its entry prices with the free wallet checker.

The Weekly Skill Report. Leaderboard changes, notable wallet moves, and every newly graded alert from the featured feed, the alerts subscribers receive. Wins and losses both, one email each Monday.

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