1,710 wallets hold a ranked Awards record of at least 20 independent resolved events. The current #1 is 0xac16…4f44, with 34 independent resolved events · +15.2¢ per share vs the market baseline · 68% hit rate. Its full record is free to read; the complete ranking behind it is the subscription. Scores are statistical estimates over public on-chain data, and they describe wallet records rather than persons. How the scoring works →
Awards markets price nominations and wins across the Oscars, Emmys, SAG, DGA, Critics Choice, and their peers: which performer takes a category, who gets nominated, occasionally who hosts. Resolution follows the announced result.
The category runs seasonally, with dense clusters of correlated markets around each ceremony. One envelope can settle several linked questions, and those count once under the independence rules. Ranked records here are built across ceremonies and seasons, by wallets that priced voting bodies and precursor signals better than the market did.
SKILL LEADERBOARD
Who is actually accurate
The top wallets in each category, ranked by skill-adjusted accuracy across distinct resolved events, so one correlated position can’t pass as a track record. The public board is free to read. How we score →
Free preview. The #1 forecaster’s identity and real numbers are shown. The rest are hidden, not blank. Subscribe to reveal every forecaster, every score, and the full ranking.Subscribe for the full board →
Scores are statistical estimates based on public on-chain data and may be incomplete or wrong. They describe a wallet’s historical record, and they are not statements about any person’s character, honesty, or overall trading ability. Wallet owner? Request delisting or a correction: hello@overround.pro.
What counts as an awards market on Polymarket?
Winner and nomination questions for film, television, and music awards, from the Oscars through guild and critics' ceremonies. Each market resolves on the official announcement.
How does grading handle one ceremony settling many markets?
Markets that resolve on the same ceremony outcome form correlated families, and each family counts once. A wallet that swept a ceremony's categories with one thesis about a front-runner holds fewer independent events than its market count suggests, which the ranking reflects.
What information edge exists in awards markets?
Precursor ceremonies, guild voting patterns, and campaign dynamics are public but unevenly priced. Records that beat their entry prices across seasons indicate someone reads those signals better than the consensus, and the board reports that record without claiming to know the method.