1,404 wallets hold a ranked Movies record of at least 20 independent resolved events. The current #1 is 0x3577…6eff, with 39 independent resolved events · +31.3¢ per share vs the market baseline · 97% hit rate. Its full record is free to read; the complete ranking behind it is the subscription. Scores are statistical estimates over public on-chain data, and they describe wallet records rather than persons. How the scoring works →
Movies markets track what people watch and what platforms report: weekly Netflix top rankings, streaming milestones, reality show eliminations, and release outcomes. Resolution follows the published charts and broadcast results.
Weekly rankings give the category a steady resolution rhythm, and platform data is public enough that edges come from interpretation rather than access: decay curves on a new release, competition in a genre week, how a show's audience holds. The board below grades those reads against the prices paid, week after week.
SKILL LEADERBOARD
Who is actually accurate
The top wallets in each category, ranked by skill-adjusted accuracy across distinct resolved events, so one correlated position can’t pass as a track record. The public board is free to read. How we score →
Free preview. The #1 forecaster’s identity and real numbers are shown. The rest are hidden, not blank. Subscribe to reveal every forecaster, every score, and the full ranking.Subscribe for the full board →
Scores are statistical estimates based on public on-chain data and may be incomplete or wrong. They describe a wallet’s historical record, and they are not statements about any person’s character, honesty, or overall trading ability. Wallet owner? Request delisting or a correction: hello@overround.pro.
What counts as a movies market on Polymarket?
Weekly streaming chart positions, viewership milestones, reality competition outcomes, and film release questions. Most resolve on published platform rankings or broadcast results, on a weekly cycle.
How is a chart week graded?
All markets resolving on the same chart snapshot form one correlated family and count once. A wallet with positions on five titles in one week's ranking earns one unit of independent evidence when the chart publishes.
What separates skill from luck in streaming markets?
Sustained accuracy across many independent chart weeks and titles, beyond what entry prices implied. Public data narrows the information gap, so ranked records here mostly reflect better interpretation of release patterns and audience decay than the market consensus.