1,833 wallets hold a ranked Esports record of at least 20 independent resolved events. The current #1 is 0x8541…a367, with 68 independent resolved events · +7.0¢ per share vs the market baseline · 51% hit rate. Its full record is free to read; the complete ranking behind it is the subscription. Scores are statistical estimates over public on-chain data, and they describe wallet records rather than persons. How the scoring works →
Esports markets settle on match and tournament results in Counter-Strike, Valorant, League of Legends, and Dota: best-of-three winners, event champions, and stage qualifications. Matches run daily across global circuits, so resolution is fast and frequent.
Team-strength modeling drives accuracy here. Rosters change, patches shift the meta, and public ratings lag both, which leaves room for informed traders to price matches better than the market. The board grades those entries against the prices paid, so a record of favorites wins no credit beyond what the odds already implied.
SKILL LEADERBOARD
Who is actually accurate
The top wallets in each category, ranked by skill-adjusted accuracy across distinct resolved events, so one correlated position can’t pass as a track record. The public board is free to read. How we score →
Free preview. The #1 forecaster’s identity and real numbers are shown. The rest are hidden, not blank. Subscribe to reveal every forecaster, every score, and the full ranking.Subscribe for the full board →
Scores are statistical estimates based on public on-chain data and may be incomplete or wrong. They describe a wallet’s historical record, and they are not statements about any person’s character, honesty, or overall trading ability. Wallet owner? Request delisting or a correction: hello@overround.pro.
What counts as an esports market on Polymarket?
Match winners in titles like Counter-Strike and Valorant, usually best-of-three series, plus tournament champions and qualification questions. Markets resolve on official results.
What does a skilled esports record look like?
Sustained entries that beat their own prices across many independent matches, which usually reflects faster or better reads on roster changes, map pools, and patch effects than the market consensus. Match volume means the evidence accumulates quickly either way.
Are match markets and tournament futures graded together?
Both grade into the same category record, with correlated markets on one event counted once. A team's match win and its same-day map-count legs form one family, while separate matches on different days are independent evidence.