898 wallets hold a ranked Music record of at least 20 independent resolved events. The current #1 is 0xfb81…1cf3, with 20 independent resolved events · +10.1¢ per share vs the market baseline · 40% hit rate. Its full record is free to read; the complete ranking behind it is the subscription. Scores are statistical estimates over public on-chain data, and they describe wallet records rather than persons. How the scoring works →
Music markets track charts and competitions: monthly Spotify listener races between artists, Eurovision placements, album and tour announcements. Resolution follows published platform data and official results.
Chart races resolve on scheduled snapshots, which gives the category a steady monthly rhythm and clean grading. Wallets ranked here have priced listener trajectories, release effects, and competition outcomes better than the market across independent snapshots and events.
SKILL LEADERBOARD
Who is actually accurate
The top wallets in each category, ranked by skill-adjusted accuracy across distinct resolved events, so one correlated position can’t pass as a track record. The public board is free to read. How we score →
Free preview. The #1 forecaster’s identity and real numbers are shown. The rest are hidden, not blank. Subscribe to reveal every forecaster, every score, and the full ranking.Subscribe for the full board →
Scores are statistical estimates based on public on-chain data and may be incomplete or wrong. They describe a wallet’s historical record, and they are not statements about any person’s character, honesty, or overall trading ability. Wallet owner? Request delisting or a correction: hello@overround.pro.
What counts as a music market on Polymarket?
Artist ranking races on streaming platforms, competition outcomes like Eurovision, and release or milestone questions. Markets resolve on the published chart data or official results.
How do listener-count races grade?
Markets resolving on the same chart snapshot count once as a correlated family. Separate months and separate competitions are independent evidence, so deep music records span many snapshots.
What edge exists in music markets?
Streaming data is public with a lag, and release calendars move prices predictably. Records that beat entry prices across independent snapshots indicate better trajectory reads than consensus, which is what this board surfaces.