274,468 wallets hold a ranked Sports record of at least 20 independent resolved events. The current #1 is 0x8230…5121, with 1,933 independent resolved events · +22.7¢ per share vs the market baseline · 43% hit rate. Its full record is free to read; the complete ranking behind it is the subscription. Scores are statistical estimates over public on-chain data, and they describe wallet records rather than persons. How the scoring works →
Sports is Polymarket's deepest category: match winners, series and tournament outcomes, and season futures across soccer, basketball, football, baseball, tennis, and more. Markets resolve on final scores, so grading is objective and fast, and a busy bettor can accumulate hundreds of resolved events in a season.
Volume cuts both ways. Fast resolution builds evidence quickly, and it also means a profitable month can rest on a short favorite-heavy streak. The board below ranks each wallet against the prices it actually paid, so a record of 60 cent picks that wins 60% of the time grades as exactly what the market predicted, while sustained wins above the entry prices grade as excess accuracy.
SKILL LEADERBOARD
Who is actually accurate
The top wallets in each category, ranked by skill-adjusted accuracy across distinct resolved events, so one correlated position can’t pass as a track record. The public board is free to read. How we score →
Free preview. The #1 forecaster’s identity and real numbers are shown. The rest are hidden, not blank. Subscribe to reveal every forecaster, every score, and the full ranking.Subscribe for the full board →
Scores are statistical estimates based on public on-chain data and may be incomplete or wrong. They describe a wallet’s historical record, and they are not statements about any person’s character, honesty, or overall trading ability. Wallet owner? Request delisting or a correction: hello@overround.pro.
What counts as a sports market on Polymarket?
Game and match winners, series outcomes, tournament and championship futures, and player or team propositions across major leagues and international competitions. Each market resolves on the official result, and correlated legs of one event, such as a ladder of point-spread markets on the same game, count once under the independence rules.
Why does the sports board rank by skill instead of profit?
A P&L ranking rewards bankroll and favorable variance as much as judgment. This board compares each wallet's resolved wins with what its own entry prices implied, so a big profit built on 90 cent favorites reads as market-expected performance, and a record that keeps beating its prices across independent games reads as measured accuracy.
How many resolved events does a wallet need to appear here?
At least 20 independent resolved sports events. Below that, the confidence interval around any accuracy estimate spans most of the plausible range, so shorter records are excluded rather than ranked on noise.