Business: Polymarket’s most calibrated forecasters

1,318 wallets hold a ranked Business record of at least 20 independent resolved events. The current #1 is 0x7a61…af24, with 40 independent resolved events · +11.2¢ per share vs the market baseline · 53% hit rate. Its full record is free to read; the complete ranking behind it is the subscription. Scores are statistical estimates over public on-chain data, and they describe wallet records rather than persons. How the scoring works →

SKILL LEADERBOARD

Who is actually accurate

The top wallets in each category, ranked by skill-adjusted accuracy across distinct resolved events, so one correlated position can’t pass as a track record. The public board is free to read. How we score →

Free preview.The #1 forecaster’s identity and real numbers are shown. The rest are hidden, not blank. Subscribe to reveal every forecaster, every score, and the full ranking.Subscribe for the full board →

#▲	Forecaster	Events	Skill /share	Confidence	ROI	Hit (Wilson LB)	Realized
1	0x7a61…af24 ↗	40	+11.17	0.50	92.4%	37.5%	$15,897
2		27
3		90
4		49
5		21

Scores are statistical estimates based on public on-chain data and may be incomplete or wrong. They describe a wallet’s historical record, and they are not statements about any person’s character, honesty, or overall trading ability. Wallet owner? Request delisting or a correction: hello@overround.pro.