1,528 wallets hold a ranked Business record of at least 20 independent resolved events. The current #1 is 0x7a61…af24, with 40 independent resolved events · +12.1¢ per share vs the market baseline · 53% hit rate. Its full record is free to read; the complete ranking behind it is the subscription. Scores are statistical estimates over public on-chain data, and they describe wallet records rather than persons. How the scoring works →
Business markets ask about corporate and economic events: whether an IPO prices this year, which company holds the largest market cap at month end, whether an underwriter leads a deal, where a jobs print lands. Resolution follows filings, official statistics, and documented announcements.
The category rewards patience. Corporate events resolve on their own schedules, often quarters out, so records build slowly and the board's minimum of 20 independent resolved events filters harder here than in high-frequency categories. Wallets that clear it have priced a sustained run of separate corporate outcomes better than the market at entry.
SKILL LEADERBOARD
Who is actually accurate
The top wallets in each category, ranked by skill-adjusted accuracy across distinct resolved events, so one correlated position can’t pass as a track record. The public board is free to read. How we score →
Free preview. The #1 forecaster’s identity and real numbers are shown. The rest are hidden, not blank. Subscribe to reveal every forecaster, every score, and the full ranking.Subscribe for the full board →
Scores are statistical estimates based on public on-chain data and may be incomplete or wrong. They describe a wallet’s historical record, and they are not statements about any person’s character, honesty, or overall trading ability. Wallet owner? Request delisting or a correction: hello@overround.pro.
What counts as a business market on Polymarket?
IPO and deal questions, market-cap and company-milestone races, executive changes, and scheduled economic prints like the unemployment rate. Markets resolve on filings, official data releases, or documented announcements.
Why are there fewer ranked wallets here than in sports or politics?
Business questions resolve less often, so fewer wallets reach 20 independent resolved events. The bar stays fixed across categories because a shorter record cannot support a statistically meaningful accuracy claim, however promising it looks.
Do macro data prints belong to business or finance?
Each market carries one category from its event's dominant tag, so a given print grades in exactly one place. Wherever it lands, the grading is identical: resolved outcome against entry price, correlated legs counted once.