595 wallets hold a ranked Box Office record of at least 20 independent resolved events. The current #1 is 0x6018…170c, with 72 independent resolved events · +9.1¢ per share vs the market baseline · 74% hit rate. Its full record is free to read; the complete ranking behind it is the subscription. Scores are statistical estimates over public on-chain data, and they describe wallet records rather than persons. How the scoring works →
Box office markets price theatrical grosses: a film's opening weekend landing in a stated range, domestic totals by a date, and head-to-head weekend races. Resolution follows the published studio and tracker numbers.
Every release publishes tracking estimates before opening, and the market prices how much to trust them. Range ladders on one film's weekend count once under the independence rules, so ranked records are built across many separate releases by wallets that adjusted tracking consensus in the right direction more often than the market.
SKILL LEADERBOARD
Who is actually accurate
The top wallets in each category, ranked by skill-adjusted accuracy across distinct resolved events, so one correlated position can’t pass as a track record. The public board is free to read. How we score →
Free preview. The #1 forecaster’s identity and real numbers are shown. The rest are hidden, not blank. Subscribe to reveal every forecaster, every score, and the full ranking.Subscribe for the full board →
Scores are statistical estimates based on public on-chain data and may be incomplete or wrong. They describe a wallet’s historical record, and they are not statements about any person’s character, honesty, or overall trading ability. Wallet owner? Request delisting or a correction: hello@overround.pro.
What counts as a box office market on Polymarket?
Opening weekend ranges, cumulative gross thresholds by a date, and ranking races between concurrent releases. Markets resolve on the published box office figures.
How do range ladders on one opening grade?
As one correlated family: every range market on the same film's weekend resolves from one number and counts once. Independent evidence accumulates across different films and weekends.
What does a skilled box office record indicate?
Repeatedly judging where a release lands relative to public tracking better than the market consensus, across independent openings. Tracking misses are common and directional, and the graded records show who anticipated them.