811 wallets hold a ranked MrBeast record of at least 20 independent resolved events. The current #1 is 0x9e8e…8db8, with 78 independent resolved events · +13.4¢ per share vs the market baseline · 78% hit rate. Its full record is free to read; the complete ranking behind it is the subscription. Scores are statistical estimates over public on-chain data, and they describe wallet records rather than persons. How the scoring works →
The MrBeast category prices one creator's output: day-one and week-one view counts for each video, subscriber milestones, and in-video events. Resolution follows YouTube's published counts at the stated timestamps.
View-count ladders dominate, and each video's ladder counts once under the independence rules. A ranked record here means someone models one channel's release patterns, thumbnail performance, and audience behavior across many separate videos better than the market watching the same channel.
SKILL LEADERBOARD
Who is actually accurate
The top wallets in each category, ranked by skill-adjusted accuracy across distinct resolved events, so one correlated position can’t pass as a track record. The public board is free to read. How we score →
Free preview. The #1 forecaster’s identity and real numbers are shown. The rest are hidden, not blank. Subscribe to reveal every forecaster, every score, and the full ranking.Subscribe for the full board →
Scores are statistical estimates based on public on-chain data and may be incomplete or wrong. They describe a wallet’s historical record, and they are not statements about any person’s character, honesty, or overall trading ability. Wallet owner? Request delisting or a correction: hello@overround.pro.
What counts as a MrBeast market on Polymarket?
View-count ranges for each new video at day one or week one, subscriber milestone deadlines, and specific in-video questions. All resolve from YouTube's published data at the stated time.
How does a single channel produce a graded category?
Each video is its own event, and the range ladder on one video counts once as a correlated family. A consistent trader accumulates one independent event per video, which adds up across a channel that publishes frequently.
Is view-count forecasting a real skill?
The graded records answer that empirically: some wallets beat their entry prices across dozens of independent videos, which chance at those prices rarely produces. The board reports the evidence and readers can weigh the domain.