740 wallets hold a ranked Science record of at least 20 independent resolved events. The current #1 is 0x69e7…d3b0, with 20 independent resolved events · +10.8¢ per share vs the market baseline · 100% hit rate. Its full record is free to read; the complete ranking behind it is the subscription. Scores are statistical estimates over public on-chain data, and they describe wallet records rather than persons. How the scoring works →
Science markets price research and regulatory milestones: FDA approval decisions, rocket launches, mission outcomes, and discovery announcements with deadlines. Resolution follows official decisions and documented events.
Approval and launch questions carry published schedules, public advisory processes, and delay-prone timelines, and the market's entry price states a testable probability against each deadline. Ranked wallets here have repeatedly judged those regulatory and engineering timelines better than the consensus.
SKILL LEADERBOARD
Who is actually accurate
The top wallets in each category, ranked by skill-adjusted accuracy across distinct resolved events, so one correlated position can’t pass as a track record. The public board is free to read. How we score →
Free preview. The #1 forecaster’s identity and real numbers are shown. The rest are hidden, not blank. Subscribe to reveal every forecaster, every score, and the full ranking.Subscribe for the full board →
Scores are statistical estimates based on public on-chain data and may be incomplete or wrong. They describe a wallet’s historical record, and they are not statements about any person’s character, honesty, or overall trading ability. Wallet owner? Request delisting or a correction: hello@overround.pro.
What counts as a science market on Polymarket?
Regulatory decisions such as FDA approvals, launch and mission outcomes, and dated discovery or publication questions. Markets resolve on the official decision or documented event.
Where does edge come from in science markets?
Advisory committee signals, trial data, launch readiness reporting, and historical slip rates are public but require domain reading. Records that beat entry prices across independent decisions suggest that reading was better than the market's.
How do delayed outcomes grade?
A market resolves as written: an approval by the deadline resolves yes or no on that deadline. Ladders of dates on one decision form a correlated family counted once, and separate decisions are independent evidence.